{"id":718,"date":"2018-10-22T15:12:03","date_gmt":"2018-10-22T07:12:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mdroid.my\/cn\/?p=718"},"modified":"2018-10-22T15:29:14","modified_gmt":"2018-10-22T07:29:14","slug":"gartner%e5%85%ac%e5%b8%832019%e5%b9%b4%e5%8d%81%e5%a4%a7%e7%a7%91%e6%8a%80%e8%b6%a8%e5%8b%a2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mdroid.my\/cn\/2018\/10\/22\/gartner%e5%85%ac%e5%b8%832019%e5%b9%b4%e5%8d%81%e5%a4%a7%e7%a7%91%e6%8a%80%e8%b6%a8%e5%8b%a2\/","title":{"rendered":"Gartner\u516c\u5e032019\u5e74\u5341\u5927\u79d1\u6280\u8da8\u52e2"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5168\u7403\u9886\u5148\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u6280\u672f\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u987e\u95ee\u516c\u53f8Gartner\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u5404\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u987b\u57282019\u5e74\u4e86\u89e3\u548c\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u9996\u8981\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002Gartner\u5c06\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u5177\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u98a0\u8986\u6027\u6f5c\u529b\u3001\u8131\u79bb\u521d\u671f\u9636\u6bb5\u4e14\u5f71\u54cd\u8303\u56f4\u548c\u7528\u9014\u6b63\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5927\u7684\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u8fc5\u901f\u589e\u957f\u3001\u9ad8\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\u3001\u9884\u8ba1\u8fbe\u5230\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Gartner\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u517c\u9662\u58eb\u7ea7\u5206\u6790\u5e08David Cearley\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u667a\u80fd\u6570\u5b57\u683c\u7f51\uff08Intelligent Digital Mesh\uff09\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e24\u5e74\u95f4\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4e2a\u70ed\u95e8\u8bdd\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u57282019\u5e74\u6210\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3aContinuousNEXT\u6218\u7565\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6709\u5173\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u4e3b\u9898\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u8d8b\u52bf\u662f\u63a8\u52a8\u6301\u7eed\u521b\u65b0\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u4e3b\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u7269\u4ef6\u4e0e\u589e\u5f3a\u667a\u80fd\u5f62\u6001\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u6b63\u5728\u4e0e\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u3001\u8fb9\u7f18\u8ba1\u7b97\u4ee5\u53ca\u6570\u5b57\u5b6a\u751f\u642d\u914d\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e26\u6765\u9ad8\u5ea6\u6574\u5408\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5171\u540c\u57f9\u80b2\u65b0\u673a\u4f1a\u4e0e\u63a8\u52a8\u65b0\u53d8\u9769\u7684\u591a\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ec4\u5408\u6548\u5e94\u662fGartner\u76842019\u5e74\u5341\u5927\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\uff08top 10 strategic technologytrends for 2019\uff09\u7684\u7279\u70b9\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

2019\u5e74\u5341\u5927\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u5177\u4f53\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u81ea\u4e3b\u5316\u7269\u4ef6\uff08Autonomous Things\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u3001\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u4e0e\u81ea\u52a8\u9a7e\u9a76\u8f66\u8f86\u7b49\u81ea\u4e3b\u5316\u7269\u4ef6\u91c7\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u81ea\u52a8\u6267\u884c\u6b64\u524d\u7531\u4eba\u7c7b\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u529f\u80fd\u3002\u5176\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u6c34\u5e73\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u50f5\u786c\u7684\u7f16\u7a0b\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\uff0c\u4e14\u80fd\u591f\u5229\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u53ca\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e92\u52a8\u5f97\u66f4\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u884c\u4e3a\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u968f\u7740\u81ea\u4e3b\u5316\u7269\u4ef6\u65e5\u76ca\u666e\u53ca\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4f1a\u770b\u5230\u5355\u4e00\u667a\u80fd\u7269\u4ef6\u5411\u4f17\u591a\u534f\u4f5c\u578b\u667a\u80fd\u7269\u4ef6\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u591a\u4e2a\u8bbe\u5907\u5c06\u5728\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u4eba\u7c7b\u6216\u4f9d\u9760\u4eba\u7c7b\u8f93\u5165\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u534f\u540c\u8fd0\u884c\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5f53\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u8003\u5bdf\u4e00\u5927\u7247\u7530\u5730\u5e76\u53d1\u73b0\u53ef\u4ee5\u6536\u5272\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u8c03\u5ea6\u2018\u81ea\u4e3b\u6536\u5272\u673a\u2019\u8fdb\u884c\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002\u800c\u5728\u7269\u6d41\u914d\u9001\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u6700\u6709\u6548\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8fd0\u7528\u81ea\u52a8\u9a7e\u9a76\u8f66\u8f86\u5c06\u5305\u88f9\u8fd0\u9001\u81f3\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u57df\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u8f66\u8f86\u4e0a\u642d\u8f7d\u7684\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u4e0e\u65e0\u4eba\u673a\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u5305\u88f9\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u6295\u9012\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u5206\u6790\uff08AugmentedAnalytics\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u5206\u6790\u4fa7\u91cd\u4e8e\u589e\u5f3a\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\uff08machine learning\uff09\u8f6c\u53d8\u5206\u6790\u5185\u5bb9\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u3001\u4f7f\u7528\u4e0e\u5171\u4eab\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u5206\u6790\u80fd\u529b\u5c06\u5feb\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u81f3\u4e3b\u6d41\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u6570\u636e\u51c6\u5907\u3001\u6570\u636e\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u73b0\u4ee3\u5206\u6790\u3001\u4e1a\u52a1\u6d41\u7a0b\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u6d41\u7a0b\u6316\u6398\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5e73\u53f0\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7279\u6027\u3002\u6e90\u81ea\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u5206\u6790\u7684\u81ea\u52a8\u6d1e\u5bdf\uff08automated insights\uff09\u4e5f\u5c06\u5d4c\u5165\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\u3001\u8d22\u52a1\u3001\u9500\u552e\u3001\u8425\u9500\u3001\u5ba2\u6237\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u91c7\u8d2d\u4e0e\u8d44\u4ea7\u7ba1\u7406\u90e8\u95e8\u5e94\u7528\u7b49\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f18\u5316\u5404\u4e2a\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u6240\u6709\u5458\u5de5\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u4e0e\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u53ea\u662f\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u4e0e\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u5206\u6790\u80fd\u81ea\u52a8\u6267\u884c\u6570\u636e\u51c6\u5907\u3001\u6d1e\u5bdf\u751f\u6210\u4e0e\u6d1e\u5bdf\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u5728\u591a\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u65e0\u9700\u4e13\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u53c2\u4e0e\u5176\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4ea7\u751f\u6c11\u95f4\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\uff08citizen data science\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u80fd\u8ba9\u7edf\u8ba1\u4e0e\u5206\u6790\u5e76\u975e\u5176\u672c\u804c\u5de5\u4f5c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7528\u6237\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u63d0\u53d6\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u4e0e\u6307\u793a\u6027\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7684\u65b0\u5174\u80fd\u529b\u53ca\u5b9e\u8df5\u96c6\u5408\u3002\u52302020\u5e74\uff0c\u6c11\u95f4\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e13\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb65\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u5404\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u6c11\u95f4\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u586b\u8865\u56e0\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u77ed\u7f3a\u53ca\u9ad8\u6210\u672c\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u4eba\u624d\u7f3a\u53e3\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\uff08AI-Driven Development\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5feb\u901f\u4ece\u4e13\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u4e0e\u5e94\u7528\u5f00\u53d1\u8005\u5408\u4f5c\u4ee5\u521b\u5efa\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u4e13\u4e1a\u5f00\u53d1\u8005\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u9884\u5b9a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6a21\u5757\u7684\u670d\u52a1\uff08predefined models delivered as a service\uff09\u800c\u72ec\u81ea\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e3a\u5f00\u53d1\u8005\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7b97\u6cd5\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u80fd\u591f\u5c06\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u529f\u80fd\u4e0e\u6a21\u578b\u6574\u5408\u4e3a\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u88ab\u7528\u4e8e\u5f00\u53d1\u6d41\u7a0b\u4ee5\u81ea\u52a8\u6267\u884c\u5404\u79cd\u6570\u636e\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u5e94\u7528\u5f00\u53d1\u4e0e\u6d4b\u8bd5\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u4e13\u4e1a\u5e94\u7528\u5f00\u53d1\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u65b0\u7684\u673a\u9047\u3002\u52302022\u5e74\uff0c\u81f3\u5c1140%\u7684\u65b0\u5e94\u7528\u5f00\u53d1\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u4e2d\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5171\u540c\u5f00\u53d1\u8005\uff08AI co-developers\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u6781\u4e3a\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u5f00\u53d1\u73af\u5883\u5c06\u81ea\u52a8\u6267\u884c\u5e94\u7528\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u6027\u4e0e\u975e\u529f\u80fd\u6027\u73af\u8282\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5f00\u521b\u2018\u975e\u4e13\u4e1a\u5e94\u7528\u5f00\u53d1\u8005\uff08citizenapplication developer\uff09\u2019\u7684\u65b0\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6\uff0c\u975e\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u58eb\u80fd\u591f\u5229\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9a71\u52a8\u5de5\u5177\u81ea\u52a8\u751f\u6210\u65b0\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u652f\u6301\u975e\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u4e0d\u7528\u7f16\u7a0b\u5c31\u80fd\u521b\u9020\u5e94\u7528\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u5e76\u4e0d\u65b0\u9c9c\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u589e\u5f3a\u578b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6570\u5b57\u5b6a\u751f\uff08Digital Twin\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u5b57\u5b6a\u751f\u662f\u6307\u4ee5\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u65b9\u5f0f\u518d\u73b0\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5b9e\u4f53\u6216\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u636eGartner\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u52302020\u5e74\uff0c\u4e92\u8054\u4f20\u611f\u5668\u4e0e\u7aef\u70b9\u5c06\u591a\u8fbe\u8d85\u8fc7200\u4ebf\uff0c\u6570\u5b57\u5b6a\u751f\u5c06\u670d\u52a1\u4e8e\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u4e2a\u7269\u4ef6\u3002\u5404\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u53ea\u662f\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u5b9e\u65bd\u6570\u5b57\u5b6a\u751f\uff0c\u4f46\u5c06\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u5bf9\u5176\u52a0\u4ee5\u6f14\u5316\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5176\u6536\u96c6\u4e0e\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u6b63\u786e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u5e94\u7528\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u89c4\u5219\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u6548\u54cd\u5e94\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5404\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u5c06\u5728\u5185\u90e8\u5b9e\u65bd\u6570\u5b57\u5b6a\u751f\uff08DTO\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u6570\u5b57\u5b6a\u751f\u6f14\u5316\u8d85\u8d8a\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u3002DTO\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u52a8\u6001\u8f6f\u4ef6\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u4f9d\u9760\u8fd0\u8425\u6570\u636e\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u5982\u4f55\u8fd0\u8425\u4e1a\u52a1\u6a21\u578b\u3001\u5173\u8054\u5f53\u524d\u72b6\u6001\u3001\u90e8\u7f72\u8d44\u6e90\u5e76\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u9884\u671f\u7684\u5ba2\u6237\u4ef7\u503c\u3002DTO\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e1a\u52a1\u6d41\u7a0b\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u521b\u5efa\u66f4\u52a0\u7075\u6d3b\u3001\u52a8\u6001\u4e14\u80fd\u591f\u5bf9\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u81ea\u52a8\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u5f0f\u6d41\u7a0b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u81ea\u4e3b\u6027\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\uff08Empowered Edge\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8fb9\u7f18\uff08Edge\uff09\u662f\u6307\u4eba\u4eec\u6240\u4f7f\u7528\u6216\u8005\u5d4c\u5165\u6211\u4eec\u5468\u56f4\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u7aef\u70b9\u8bbe\u5907\u3002\u8fb9\u7f18\u8ba1\u7b97\uff08Edge computing\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8ba1\u7b97\u62d3\u6251\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u62d3\u6251\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u5904\u7406\u3001\u5185\u5bb9\u6536\u96c6\u4e0e\u4ea4\u4ed8\u66f4\u52a0\u9760\u8fd1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7aef\u70b9\u3002\u8be5\u7ed3\u6784\u5c3d\u529b\u6536\u96c6\u6d41\u91cf\u5e76\u5728\u672c\u5730\u5904\u7406\uff0c\u4ee5\u671f\u51cf\u5c11\u7f51\u7edc\u62e5\u6324\u4e0e\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\uff0c\u8fb9\u7f18\u7531\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u4ee5\u53ca\u9760\u8fd1\u7ec8\u7aef\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u4e91\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u4e0a\u7684\u5904\u7406\u9700\u6c42\u800c\u9a71\u52a8\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u4e91\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e0e\u8fb9\u7f18\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e76\u975e\u521b\u5efa\u65b0\u67b6\u6784\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u9010\u6e10\u6210\u4e3a\u4e92\u8865\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e91\u670d\u52a1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u8fd0\u884c\u4e8e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u3001\u672c\u5730\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fb9\u7f18\u8bbe\u5907\u4e0a\u7684\u96c6\u4e2d\u5f0f\u670d\u52a1\uff08centralized service\uff09\u800c\u53d7\u5230\u7ba1\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\uff0c\u4e13\u4e1a\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u82af\u7247\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5904\u7406\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u5b58\u50a8\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u9ad8\u7ea7\u529f\u80fd\u5c06\u88ab\u6dfb\u52a0\u81f3\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u8bbe\u5907\u3002\u8be5\u5d4c\u5165\u5f0f\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u6781\u9ad8\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\uff08extreme heterogeneity\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u5404\u7c7b\u8d44\u4ea7\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u5de5\u4e1a\u7cfb\u7edf\uff09\u7684\u957f\u5bff\u547d\u5468\u671f\u5c06\u5e26\u6765\u5927\u91cf\u7ba1\u7406\u6311\u6218\u3002\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u968f\u77405G\u65e5\u81fb\u6210\u719f\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u8ba1\u7b97\u73af\u5883\u5c06\u4e3a\u96c6\u4e2d\u5f0f\u670d\u52a1\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u52a0\u7a33\u5065\u7684\u901a\u4fe1\u652f\u6301\u30025G\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3001\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5e26\u5bbd\u3001\u5e76\u663e\u8457\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6bcf\u5e73\u65b9\u516c\u91cc\u5185\u7684\u8282\u70b9\uff08\u8fb9\u7f18\u7aef\u70b9\uff09\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u8fb9\u7f18\u800c\u8a00\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6c89\u6d78\u5f0f\u4f53\u9a8c\uff08ImmersiveExperience\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4f1a\u8bdd\u5f0f\u5e73\u53f0\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u53d8\u7740\u4eba\u4eec\u4e0e\u6570\u5b57\u4e16\u754c\u4ea4\u4e92\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u800c\u865a\u62df\u73b0\u5b9e\uff08VR\uff09\u3001\u589e\u5f3a\u73b0\u5b9e\uff08AR\uff09\u4e0e\u6df7\u5408\u73b0\u5b9e\uff08MR\uff09\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u53d8\u7740\u4eba\u4eec\u611f\u77e5\u6570\u5b57\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u611f\u77e5\u4e0e\u4ea4\u4e92\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u8f6c\u53d8\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u6c89\u6d78\u5f0f\u7528\u6237\u4f53\u9a8c\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u4e45\u800c\u4e45\u4e4b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4ece\u8003\u8651\u5355\u4e2a\u8bbe\u5907\u4e0e\u7247\u6bb5\u5316\u7528\u6237\u63a5\u53e3\uff08fragmented user interface\uff09\u6280\u672f\u8f6c\u5411\u591a\u6e20\u9053\u4e0e\u591a\u6a21\u5f0f\u4f53\u9a8c\uff08multichannel and multimodal experience\uff09\u3002\u591a\u6a21\u5f0f\u4f53\u9a8c\u5c06\u8de8\u8d8a\u5468\u56f4\u6570\u4ee5\u767e\u8ba1\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u8bbe\u5907\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u4f20\u7edf\u8ba1\u7b97\u8bbe\u5907\u3001\u53ef\u7a7f\u6234\u8bbe\u5907\u3001\u6c7d\u8f66\u3001\u73af\u5883\u4f20\u611f\u5668\u4e0e\u6d88\u8d39\u8bbe\u5907\uff09\uff0c\u5c06\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e0e\u6570\u5b57\u4e16\u754c\u8fde\u63a5\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u8be5\u591a\u6e20\u9053\u4f53\u9a8c\u5c06\u7efc\u5408\u5e94\u7528\u6240\u6709\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u611f\u89c9\u4ee5\u53ca\u591a\u6a21\u5f0f\u8bbe\u5907\u4e2d\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u611f\u5e94\uff08\u5982\uff1a\u70ed\u5ea6\u3001\u6e7f\u5ea6\u4e0e\u5e7f\u5ea6\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u590d\u5408\u4f53\u9a8c\u73af\u5883\u5c06\u8425\u9020\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u4f53\u9a8c\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5c06\u7531\u6211\u4eec\u5468\u56f4\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u800c\u975e\u67d0\u53f0\u8bbe\u5907\u6765\u5b9a\u4e49\u2018\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u2019\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u5c31\u7b49\u540c\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u533a\u5757\u94fe\uff08Blockchain\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\u5206\u7c7b\u8d26\uff08distributed ledger\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u6709\u671b\u901a\u8fc7\u5efa\u7acb\u4fe1\u4efb\u3001\u63d0\u4f9b\u900f\u660e\u5ea6\u4ee5\u53ca\u51cf\u5c11\u8de8\u4e1a\u52a1\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6469\u64e6\u800c\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u3001\u51cf\u5c11\u4ea4\u6613\u7ed3\u7b97\u6b21\u6570\u4e0e\u6539\u5584\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u800c\u91cd\u5851\u5404\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4fe1\u8d56\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u7968\u636e\u4ea4\u6362\u6240\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8bb8\u591a\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u89c6\u4e3a\u5728\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u5185\u5b89\u5168\u5b58\u653e\u201c\u552f\u4e00\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff08single version of the truth\uff09\u201d\u7684\u4e2d\u592e\u673a\u6784\uff08central authorities\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u96c6\u4e2d\u4fe1\u4efb\u6a21\u5f0f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u4ea4\u6613\u5ef6\u8fdf\u4e0e\u6469\u64e6\u6210\u672c\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u4f63\u91d1\u3001\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u4ef7\u503c\uff09\u3002\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u79cd\u4fe1\u4efb\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u65e0\u9700\u518d\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e2d\u592e\u673a\u6784\u4ef2\u88c1\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u6280\u672f\u4e0e\u6982\u5ff5\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6210\u719f\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u5176\u7f3a\u4e4f\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5e76\u672a\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u3001\u5173\u952e\u578b\u4e1a\u52a1\u8fd0\u8425\u7684\u9a8c\u8bc1\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u652f\u6301\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u590d\u6742\u5143\u7d20\u66f4\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5b58\u5728\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u5177\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u98a0\u8986\u5f0f\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u9996\u5e2d\u4fe1\u606f\u5b98\u4e0eIT\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u5e76\u4e0d\u6025\u4e8e\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u5185\u91c7\u7528\u8be5\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u5e94\u8be5\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u4f5c\u51fa\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u8ba1\u5212\u5e76\u672a\u843d\u5b9e\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u7684\u6240\u6709\u5c5e\u6027\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d7\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u542f\u53d1\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u88ab\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e3a\u901a\u8fc7\u4e1a\u52a1\u6d41\u7a0b\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u6216\u8bb0\u5f55\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u800c\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd0\u8425\u6548\u7387\u7684\u9014\u5f84\u3002\u5176\u6709\u671b\u589e\u5f3a\u5df2\u77e5\u5b9e\u4f53\uff08known entities\uff09\u95f4\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u5171\u4eab\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u63d0\u5347\u8ddf\u8e2a\u4e0e\u8ffd\u6eaf\u7269\u7406\u53ca\u6570\u5b57\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6cd5\u5e76\u672a\u6293\u4f4f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u98a0\u8986\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u52a0\u5382\u5546\u9501\u5b9a\uff08vendor lock-in\uff09\u3002\u9009\u62e9\u6b64\u7c7b\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u5404\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u5e94\u4e86\u89e3\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u5c40\u9650\uff0c\u5e76\u51c6\u5907\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u8f6c\u800c\u91c7\u7528\u5f7b\u5e95\u7684\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u800c\u901a\u8fc7\u66f4\u9ad8\u6548\u5730\u5229\u7528\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u975e\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u6280\u672f\u5e76\u5bf9\u5176\u52a0\u4ee5\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u76f8\u540c\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u667a\u80fd\u7a7a\u95f4\uff08Smart Spaces\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u667a\u80fd\u7a7a\u95f4\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7269\u7406\u6216\u6570\u5b57\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e0e\u53d7\u6280\u672f\u652f\u6301\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u66f4\u52a0\u5f00\u653e\u3001\u4e92\u8054\u3001\u534f\u4f5c\u4e14\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5185\u4e92\u52a8\u3002\u5305\u62ec\u4eba\u3001\u6d41\u7a0b\u3001\u670d\u52a1\u4e0e\u7269\u5728\u5185\u7684\u591a\u4e2a\u8981\u7d20\u6c47\u805a\u5230\u667a\u80fd\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u4e3a\u76ee\u6807\u4eba\u7fa4\u53ca\u884c\u4e1a\u60c5\u666f\u6253\u9020\u66f4\u52a0\u6c89\u6d78\u5f0f\u3001\u4ea4\u4e92\u5f0f\u4e14\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u7684\u4f53\u9a8c\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8be5\u8d8b\u52bf\u5df2\u7ecf\u56f4\u7ed5\u667a\u6167\u57ce\u5e02\u3001\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u5de5\u4f5c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3001\u667a\u80fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e92\u8054\u5de5\u5382\u7b49\u8981\u7d20\u800c\u8fdb\u884c\u5408\u5e76\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5458\u5de5\u3001\u5ba2\u6237\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u3001\u793e\u533a\u6210\u5458\u8fd8\u662f\u516c\u6c11\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u90fd\u5728\u65e5\u6e10\u6210\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u4e0d\u53ef\u5206\u5272\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u5165\u52a0\u901f\u4ea4\u4ed8\u667a\u80fd\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u65f6\u671f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6570\u5b57\u9053\u5fb7\u4e0e\u9690\u79c1\uff08Digital Ethics and Privacy\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e2a\u4eba\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u65e5\u76ca\u5173\u6ce8\u6570\u5b57\u9053\u5fb7\u4e0e\u9690\u79c1\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5173\u5fc3\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u516c\u5171\u53ca\u79c1\u4eba\u9886\u57df\u4f7f\u7528\u5176\u4e2a\u4eba\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u4e3b\u52a8\u5904\u7406\u6b64\u7c7b\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u53cd\u5e94\u53ea\u4f1a\u589e\u5f3a\u3002<\/p>\n

Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u5173\u4e8e\u9690\u79c1\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u8ba8\u8bba\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u57fa\u4e8e\u6570\u5b57\u9053\u5fb7\u4e0e\u5ba2\u6237\u3001\u59d4\u6258\u4eba\u53ca\u5458\u5de5\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u8fd9\u4e00\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u4e3b\u9898\u3002\u867d\u7136\u9690\u79c1\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u662f\u6784\u5efa\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4f46\u4fe1\u4efb\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u6709\u5173\u3002\u4fe1\u4efb\u662f\u5728\u65e0\u8bc1\u636e\u6216\u8c03\u67e5\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u63a5\u53d7\u6240\u9648\u8ff0\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9690\u79c1\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u5efa\u7acb\u5fc5\u987b\u7531\u5176\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u9053\u5fb7\u4e0e\u4fe1\u4efb\u7acb\u573a\u63a8\u52a8\u3002\u4ece\u9690\u79c1\u5230\u9053\u5fb7\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u4f7f\u5f97\u5bf9\u8bdd\u4ece\u2018\u6211\u4eec\u5408\u89c4\u5417\u2019\u8f6c\u5411\u2018\u6211\u4eec\u505a\u5f97\u6b63\u786e\u5417\u2019\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u91cf\u5b50\u8ba1\u7b97\uff08QuantumComputing\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Cearley\u5148\u751f\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u9996\u5e2d\u4fe1\u606f\u5b98\u4e0eIT\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u5e94\u5f00\u59cb\u89c4\u5212\u91cf\u5b50\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u52a0\u6df1\u5bf9\u5176\u4e86\u89e3\uff0c\u5e76\u8003\u8651\u5982\u4f55\u5c06\u5176\u7528\u4e8e\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u4e1a\u52a1\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u5728\u8be5\u6280\u672f\u5c1a\u5904\u4e8e\u65b0\u5174\u72b6\u6001\u65f6\u8fdb\u884c\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u786e\u5b9a\u5176\u80fd\u591f\u6709\u6f5c\u529b\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u8003\u8651\u5176\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4f46\u8bf7\u4e0d\u8981\u76f8\u4fe1\u2018\u91cf\u5b50\u8ba1\u7b97\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u5185\u5c31\u4f1a\u5f15\u9886\u53d8\u9769\u2019\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5938\u5f20\u8bf4\u6cd5\u3002\u57282022\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u5e94\u4e86\u89e3\u5e76\u89c2\u5bdf\u91cf\u5b50\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u4ece2023\u62162025\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u518d\u8fdb\u884c\u5e94\u7528\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u672c\u6587\u6765\u6e90\uff1aGartnerInc<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u5168\u7403\u9886\u5148\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u6280\u672f\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u987e\u95ee\u516c\u53f8Gartner\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u5404\u4f01\u4e1a\u673a\u6784\u987b\u57282019\u5e74\u4e86\u89e3\u548c\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u9996\u8981\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002Gartner\u5c06\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u5177\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u98a0\u8986\u6027\u6f5c\u529b\u3001\u8131\u79bb\u521d\u671f\u9636\u6bb5\u4e14\u5f71\u54cd\u8303\u56f4\u548c\u7528\u9014\u6b63\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5927\u7684\u6218\u7565\u79d1\u6280\u53d1\u5c55\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e94\u5e74\u5185\u8fc5\u901f\u589e\u957f\u3001\u9ad8\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\u3001\u9884\u8ba1\u8fbe\u5230\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u3002 Gartner\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u517c\u9662\u58eb\u7ea7\u5206\u6790\u5e08David Cearley\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u667a\u80fd\u6570\u5b57\u683c\u7f51\uff08Intelligent Digital 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